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Donald Trump elected U.S. President

Decrypt impact scenarios on financial markets

Final Results

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232

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290

 

Exclusive!
Discover the Artificial Intelligence polling solution* developed by EPFL Social Media Lab. 
 

Use the predictive analytics boxes to anticipate the next official polls' results.
The algorithm tracks opinions on each of two candidates across the web to predict the outcome of the elections in real-time.

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*The solution measures the changes in opinions expressed on the web (here for Clinton vs. Trump) and it shows how it can anticipate the shifts in the public opinion during the campaign and most importantly before the election day. This new “web opinion metric” is real-time and has a predictive nature for coming polls, elections or public votes. The platform makes use of different Artificial Intelligence algorithms, such as graph analysis, NLP and deep machine learning, to understand the dynamics of the opinions on the web and their trends.

Forex markets

With major global macro risk events out of the way or deferred, currency markets are increasingly sensitive to the US election.

Discover below our FX basket for Donald Trump Election.

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President Donald Trump

High volatility expected on MXN, CAD and CNY as a result of Trump’s threats to renegotiate trade treaties.

Long

USD (60%)
JPY (40%)

Short

MXN (45%)
CAD (35%)
CNY (20%)

Themes Trading

Use our revolutionary tool that lets you explore investment opportunities based on trends, global drivers and even trading strategies.

For Republican nominee Donald Trump, we focused on 3 key areas

Immigration

Perhaps no other issue has garnered as much domestic press coverage as Trump’s views on immigration. In fact, even the slightest shift in his hardline stance has generated significant political backlash, making it mandatory for a future President Trump to deliver on his promises. “We’re going to build the wall, and we’re going to stop it. It’s going to end,” Trump said at a campaign rally in March, referring to illegal immigration. Trump will most likely focus efforts on screening, enforcement and, of course, building a $15bn wall along the Mexican border.

International Trade

If President Trump gets his way, the days of America “getting ripped off” due to “disastrous” trade deals are over. Trump is advocating a repudiation of globalization that would make Brexit look like a minor disagreement. Trump says he would change America’s “failed trade policy” by renegotiating or rejecting trade deals. He has labeled China a currency manipulator and threatened to tear up the NAFTA and TPP free trade agreements and slap Mexico and China with a 45% tariff on imports.

Energy policy

Speaking in North Dakota, at the heart of the American energy revival, Trump announced his “America first” energy strategy, stating that “American energy dominance will be declared a strategic economic and foreign policy goal of the United States.” Trump has enthusiastically pledged his support for the US fossil fuels and nuclear industries (pledging to eliminate the Environmental Protection Agency) and said he is going to “save the coal industry.”

Subscribe to our special «US Elections» webinar*

Prepare your investment strategy.

Join the Swissquote Bank Market Strategy team in deciphering the US Election 2016

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Friday, 11.11.2016 (EN)

*WARNING: By clicking on the link above, you will be redirected to an external website, which is neither maintained nor controlled by Swissquote Bank Ltd. By your subscription to this Webinar, our external partner, who is located abroad, will have knowledge of the personal data you insert on the subscription form, amongst others, your identity and your relation with Swissquote Bank Ltd. You waive banking secrecy regarding this information. You understand and accept that Swissquote Bank Ltd has no control over a potential use or transmission of this data by third parties and bears no responsibility whatsoever in this regard. We draw your attention to the fact that our external partner is subject to legislation ensuring data protection and that your data must be destroyed by the external partner after the Webinar.

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130 instruments including currency pairs, precious metals and CFDs (commodities, stock indices and bonds).

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Short-Term Trader

Trade Forex with a Swiss Bank.

130 instruments including currency pairs, precious metals and CFDs (commodities, stock indices and bonds).

Dedicated FX platforms: Advanced Trader, MetaTrader 4 & 5.

Special Offer: Your deposit fees are waived.

Tool up for the election:  open a Forex account and we will waive your first deposit fees up to 200 CHF! 
To benefit from the offer, apply by 13 November 2016 with the promotional code: US2016.